Toll Brothers Stock Performance

Toll Brothers Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,340  in Toll Brothers on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,208  from holding Toll Brothers or generate 9.06% return on investment over 90 days. Toll Brothers is generating 0.1631% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9602% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Toll, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.Considering the 90-day investment horizon Toll Brothers is expected to generate 2.58 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.58 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Toll Brothers Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.54 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Toll Brothers will likely underperform. Additionally Toll Brothers has an alpha of 0.0122, implying that it can generate a 0.0122 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Predictive Modules for Toll Brothers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toll Brothers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 143.54 145.48 147.42 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 107.17 109.11 160.03 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 138.27 140.21 142.16 Details

19 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 140.26 154.13 171.09 Details

Toll Brothers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toll Brothers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toll Brothers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toll Brothers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toll Brothers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

Toll Brothers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toll Brothers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toll Brothers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Toll Brothers Price Density Drivers

Toll Brothers Fundamentals Growth

Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Toll Brothers assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.

Investors evaluate Toll Brothers using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Toll Brothers' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Toll Brothers' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Toll Brothers' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.